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either one of them the effect on Hong Kong, as
on China trade, should not be disastrous by the
present taxes going into operation. They are not
excessive in themselves. They are, in fact no
more than the proposals originally presented by the
Chinese (Central Government at the Tariff Conference
of 1925 as proposed to be imposed. But probably
neither the Surtax (223 of which is already paid
with little grumbling by the Chinese) nor Likin
should in themselves be blamed as the cause of
present and probable further trade decline. It is
the great element of uncertainty, the lack of any
confidence that the end of such taxation has been
reached even with the proposed schedule, that is
responsible for this. Moreover there is no end
to other local taxes, little known to Europeans,
which in practice again and again take toll of
the same merchandize in its various stages of
distribution. Shop taxes, rent in advance for
unlooked-for purposes, registration fees on everything
for the benefit of the war costs, local charges
for the upkeep of police, anti-piracy and brigandage
measures; fads and ill-considered schemes without
number, such imposts being, moreover, very generally
collected for years in advance or farmed out for
lump sums down to save trouble and get hold of
the money at once; a system uneconomical in the
extreme, whether as regards result to the Government
or the wretched subject of taxation. The people,
their
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